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Reliable COVID-19 Information

Resources for remaining safe

It's NOT Over | Long COVID | Remaining Healthy | The Vulnerable
In the Beginning | Failures of Governments | Verify Information

COVID-19 on a black background with circles and disks.

 


Most people now assume COVID is over. Nothing could be further from the truth. COVID is very much a threat to everyone's long-term health, to our economy and to our way of life. Not collecting accurate data provides for “plausible deniability.”

There are two ways to be fooled. One is to believe what isn't true; the other is to refuse to believe what is true.
— Søren Kierkegaard (1813–1855)

For the first time in decades, life expectancy in the most developed countries has been reduced.Those that are vulnerable will continue to suffer the greatest inconvenience and much higher levels of hospitalization and death.

Vaccination Compliance Dropping Significantly

It is concerning that many people have not obtained a COVID vaccine within the last six months, especially considering that governments have focused on a vaccine-only policy.

Anti-vax Misinformation Rampant

Misinformation about the danger of vaccines on social media is not new. However, the amount of anti-vax misinformation became viral after the COVID-19 vaccines were released.

There are ongoing serious consequence resulting from this unscientific anti-vax movement including allowing other treatable diseases to spread unchecked:

Measles is one of the most contagious diseases in the world and is airborne. If someone with measles exits a room, others can be infected up to two hours after that person has left, said Shelly Bolotin, director of the Centre for Vaccine Preventable Diseases at the University of Toronto's Dalla Lana School of Public Health.

 

"Measles can be a fatal infection. Children less than five years of age, adults older than 20 years of age, pregnant people and people who are immunocompromised are at higher risk for complications from measles."

 

Preventing spread of measles within a community requires 95 per cent of the population to be vaccinated.
Times Colonist

Instead, we should be following mission guidelines like C19.life which lists many of the degenerative effects of repeated infections including long COVID. The following should be your goal if you wish to have a long and healthy life:

The fewest reinfections as possible, with the lowest viral load, while as vaccinated as possible.

The Current Threat Level Across Canada

This is critical information, based upon wastewater measurements. The failure of MSM and governments to acknowledge the high levels of infection has allowed the myth that COVID is over to gain momentum.

It is a government's responsibility to inform the public about risks but this work is being carried out by volunteers. Have patience when deadlines are missed — their regular work and private lives have suffered, leading to potential burnout.

COVID forecast March 29–April 12.

Visit The Canadian COVID data site for current data.

 

Canada COVID forecast March 29–April 12.
BC COVID forecast March 29–April 12.

 

How to Help

BC only because of VERY HIGH RISK:

  • AVOID indoor social gatherings.
  • AVOID crowded non-essential places.
  • HIGH RISK, also avoid outdoor social gatherings.

Who is HIGH RISK?

  • People 60 and older, babies <1 year, pregnant.
  • ALL AGES: immunocompromised OR medically at risk OR no vaccine or infection last 6 months.

Risk levels for exposure based on four main factors.

Given the decreased rates of viral respiratory infections in the community, additional infection prevention and control measures implemented in fall 2023 in health-care settings are no longer required at all times.

 

People are still encouraged to wear masks in health-care settings as appropriate, to continue to cover coughs and stay away from others when feeling sick. Health-care workers will continue to wear appropriate personal protective equipment, such as masks and respirators, in accordance with their point-of-care risk assessments.
Island Health

Movie Night Risk Comparison

This scenario compares two gathering situations: the audience wears no masks or all wear N95 masks:

If No One Masks

 

If this community movie night has no masking requirement, the level of risk of attending this event will limit who can safely participate.

 

Cost in Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALY) dollars is $102 for a 2 hour movie, in a poorly ventilated space. Your chance of getting COVID at the event is .31%. Even if the ventilation is good, the QALY dollar cost is $29.

 

Right now the infection rate is quite low (except for BC), the % chance of getting COVID is seemingly low, but remember, each % adds up over a day, and week, so this number may well tip over one's COVID risk budget.

 

If Everyone Masks (no food or drink so no one removes their mask)

 

If this community movie night is organized so that everyone is wearing N95 masks, the cost in QALY $ is 29 cents. Yes, that is 100x less risk when everyone masks. The chance of you getting covid is 0%.

 

Masked Community Movie Night is a welcoming, safe situation where everyone is able to participate.
Canadian COVID Data

COVID-19 Data Collection Sources

Tara Moriarty of Moriarty Lab and her fellow researchers have done a tremendous job of collecting and compiling much of the information above. Unfortunately, it has been stressful and, like so many working to end COVID, caused burnout and failures to meet important personal deadlines.

Canadians, I think we all need to hear this tonight:

 

If we had not protected ourselves and each other from COVID-19, more than 500,000 of us would have died.

 

WE have collectively saved more than 500,000 lives.

 

WE did this. Not leaders. US.

 

THIS is who we were and still are.
Tara Moriarty, 6:41 PM · Feb 14, 2022

Accurate Information Difficult to Obtain

Accurate or ANY COVID-19 information is becoming difficult or impossible to obtain. As of July 2023, only Quebec, Ontario and Manitoba are still reporting weekly.

The four of us spent the last three years immersed in collecting and reporting data on Covid-19 from every corner of the world, building one of the most trusted sources of information on cases and deaths available anywhere. But we stopped in March, not because the pandemic is over (it isn't), but because much of the vital public health information we need is no longer available.
Beth Blauer et el

PCR testing is limited to healthcare settings where patients are exhibiting symptoms which is why the modeling is now done based upon wastewater.

It's NOT Over

While our governments claim that COVID is over, it continues to be an extremely dangerous disease. “Long COVID” may result in as much as 20% of our work force being permanently disabled.

People were eager to quit wearing masks and to return to enjoying events, travel, theatre, sports and much more. This is nothing but wishful thinking empowered by governments concerned with optics responding to pressure from corporations more concerned with profits than either are with people.

Saying "Covid isn't going away" is like saying "The dirty dishes are not becoming clean."

 

Of course Covid isn't going away. It was never predisposed to "go away" or wither away by itself. It's *our job* to kick it out.
Gosia Gaspero PhD, Developmental Biologist, Researcher

NOT “Just Like the Flu”

COVID deaths continue to far outpace deaths from the flu and a disproportionate number of the dying are immunocompromised.

The assumption that “it is just like the flu” fails to take into account that COVID is now the number two cause of hospitalization (exceeded only by childbirth) with extremely high death rates.

COVID-19 became the 2nd most common reason for hospitalization in 2021–2022, up from 7th the previous year. This represents a greater than 60% increase in COVID-19 hospitalizations.
CIHI_ICIS

Top 5 reasons for hospital stays 1. Giving birth 2. COVID-19 3. Heart failure 4. Heart attack 5. Substance use disorders.

 

Significant Deaths Among Children

The graph below clearly indicates that COVID is far more serious for children than the flu:

Graph showing 2, 18 and 51 COVID-19 deaths among children in Canada for 2020, 2021 and 2022 compared to 9 for flu 2011-2019.

 

Nor have adults fared any better:

Over the past 12 years, the flu's estimated annual death toll has been as low as 12,000, but never higher than 61,000 — just an eighth of COVID's death toll in the first year of the pandemic.

 

Since the earliest days of the pandemic, weekly COVID deaths have been at least 15 times that of weekly flu deaths — and sometimes as much as 811 times.
Fortune

COVID is Not “Mild” —It is Mutating

One misconception is that COVID is the same today as it was in 2020. Not only have there been numerous variations, but also variations within the variations. We're now dealing with “a viral soup.”

Covid spreads in the air like smoke. At least half of Covid transmission happens before people develop symptoms — or even if they never develop symptoms — so people frequently spread the virus without knowing it. That's why layered protection — the combination of masks, tests and ventilation — is so important.
Theodore Pak, Lara Jirmanus and Andrew Wang

Mike Honey's visualization tool defaults to Australia but provides the ability to generate data for a specific country, province or worldwide. The COVID-19 Genomic Sequencing analysis for British Columbia July 15, 2023–March 12, 2024 is shown below:

COVID-19 Genomic Sequencing analysis for British Columbia July 15, 2023–March 12, 2024.

The emergence of variations and their replacement with newer strains is illustrated above. Earlier strains have disappeared.

Vaccine Protection Waning

As variants continue to evolve, it becomes more and more likely that protection from vaccines will fail at some point. Unlike the flu vaccine, protection seems to last no more than 6 months.

We do know that protection against infection wanes, and people can get it multiple times. And on average, people are getting it much more frequently than we get flu.
Caroline Colijn, a Canada 150 Research Chair in Mathematics for Evolution, Infection and Public Health at Simon Fraser University

Unfortunately the uptake of the new XBB.1.5 vaccine boosters has been low compared to other years, meaning that many people are no longer protected.

Notice how the % pop vaccinations per recommendations (column 2) is dropping over time:

The average weekly severe COVID-19 severe outcomes in Canada by year.

It Mutates Rapidly

Omicron has been characterized as “mild” and many people mistake these symptoms as “only a cold.” Newer, more virulent, variations could appear at any time combining the ability to spread extremely quickly yet be far more deadly.

Anyone who gets infected with corona more often runs the risk of developing an incurable immune deficiency. According to Health Minister Lauterbach, this is indicated by various studies that are currently being further researched. As a result, the risk of chronic diseases such as dementia would increase.
Archyde (January 21, 2023)

JN.1

The newest variant, JN.1, has become the fastest growing variant in the United States (now 39%–50% of cases) and elsewhere.

JN.1 is similar to BA.2.86 but has an additional mutation (L455S) in the spike protein. JN.1 continues to cause an increasing share of infections and is now the most widely circulating variant in the United States.

 

We're also seeing an increasing share of infections caused by JN.1 in travelers, wastewater, and most regions around the globe.

 

It's important to know that existing vaccines, tests, and treatments still work well against JN.1.

 

The spread of JN.1 does not alter CDC's COVID-19 recommendations. COVID-19 remains a serious public health threat, especially for people at higher risk of severe disease, such as older adults, infants, and people with certain disabilities and underlying health conditions. We encourage you to take steps to protect yourself and others.
U.S. CDC December 22, 2023

The Wealthy Know It's Not Over

While elites take every COVID precaution possible when they meet with each other at the World Economic Forum, they go home and tell us that COVID is no longer a threat, and the pandemic is over. Actions speak louder than words.
Dr. Lucky Tran

The January 2023 World Economic Forum at Davos required everyone to be tested before entering and provided state-of-the-art ventilation.

Participants are required to get tested in one of the Forum testing centres after arriving in Davos and picking up their badge. Conducting a test will keep the badge active and grant the access to the Annual Meeting's venues. Failing to conduct an onsite test or a positive test result will lead to the badge being deactivated.

 

Additional state-of-the-art ventilation systems have been installed in areas with restricted air circulation.
WEF 2023 Health & Safety Measures

COVID Transmitted by Aerosols

Every time you breathe, laugh, sing, shout, cough or sneeze, you spread micro particles (aerosols) into the air. Think of how your breathe vapors travel when outside in cold weather or how cigarette smoke can hang in the air.

Just breathing naturally, people can emit dozens of copies of viral RNA every minute.

 

[T]he team estimates that a high shedder could potentially exhale enough virus to infect someone in a closed space in about 20 seconds, making even elevator rides risky.
Science News

How COVID-19 spreads

 

Because COVID is spread by aerosols, high quality N95-type masks and improved airflow within buildings are necessary to stem the spread of COVID.

COVID is Airborne: The science behind safer indoor gatherings.
Why aerosols are different from droplets
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhin.2020.12.022

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Long COVID

Long COVID is a long-term threat to not only our healthcare system, but also to our economy as a once-healthy workforce becomes incapacitated by debilitating chronic conditions lasting for a year or more.

By June 2023, about one in nine (11.7%) of the total adult population reported experiencing long-term symptoms, defined as the presence of symptoms three or more months after a COVID-19 infection that could not be explained by anything else.

 

This represents 3.5 million Canadians, and nearly 1 in 5 (19.0%) Canadian adults who had been infected at least once.
Statistics Canada December 8, 2023
COVID can cause organ damage — particularly affecting the heart, kidneys, skin. Plus, there's risk of brain and immune damage, along with increased risks for cancer and autoimmune disease.

 

And, while no one knows yet how long that damage could persist, a study published in the Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine says 59 per cent of Long COVID patients had organ damage a year later.
Urban Affairs

Not only that, but physicians and other medical personnel are experiencing burnout at an accelerated rate. Funding for long COVID is expensive and drying up.

Neutralized Immunity

Evidence is growing that breakthrough infections neutralize immunity and damage our T-cells which have a significant role in protecting us from COVID and other diseases.

COVID-19 causes turnover and aging of the immune cells responsible for responding to both COVID-19 and other pathogens.

 

We know that reinfections occur, and they seem to be increasing. With our present high levels of transmission, many individuals will likely be experiencing two or more infections per year going forward. The immune system is damaged for more than half a year after infection….
World Health Network

Early Onset of Diseases

Long COVID includes the early onset of diseases such as heart disease and heart attacks and presents with symptoms like neurological issues, blood clots, increased rare Cancers and chronic fatigue.

COVID is a unique virus because it can spread far and wide in a patient's body. A December 2022 study, published in the journal Nature, autopsied 44 people who died of COVID and found that the virus could spread throughout the body and persist, in one case as long as 230 days after symptoms started. “We know that there are dozens of symptoms across multiple organ systems,” said McCorkell. “That makes it harder for a primary care physician to connect the dots and associate it with COVID.”
Medscape

Link to Heart Health

There is increasing evidence that a link exists between COVID-19 and heart health. The biggest increase (30%) was in those between 25 and 40 years old, spiking after each COVID wave. COVID itself is 11 times as likely to cause myocarditis than the vaccine according to Dr. John Ores.

New data appears to show link between COVID and heart disease

 

Diagnosing Long COVID

More than 200 symptoms have been identified with impacts on multiple organ systems. At least 65 million individuals worldwide are estimated to have long COVID, with cases increasing daily.
Davis et al 2023 Nature Reviews Microbiology
The possibility of diagnosing long COVID with a simple blood test could radically change some doctors' false perceptions that it is not a real condition, Iwasaki said, ensuring it is recognized and treated with the seriousness it deserves.

 

"I feel like we need to get there with long COVID. If we can order a blood test and say somebody has a long COVID because of these values, then suddenly the diseases become medically explainable," Iwasaki added.
Medscape

The Doctor's checklist for treating long COVID patients provides an excellent summary with links to supporting research papers that are much more scientific in their language.

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Updated: April 12, 2024